Author - Abhishek Salunke

  • Abhishek Salunke
14 Sep

Expect AUM growth of 12-15% in FY21E – Manappuram Finance

Update on Indian equity market:
In the absence of economic news flow, markets traded with caution as Nifty closed the day mere 5 points higher at 11,455. Among the index, WIPRO (2.8%), SBIN (2.7%), and TECHM (1.9%) were the top performing stocks while ZEEL (-2.4%), INDUSINDBK (-1.7%), and POWERGRID (-1.5%) were the laggards. Within the sectoral indices, IT (1.3%), REALTY (1.3%), and PSUBANK (0.8%) were the top performing sectors whereas MEDIA (-0.9%), PVTBANK (-0.2%), and FIN SERVICES (-0.01%) were the only the sectors closed the day in red.
Excerpts of an interview with B.N. Raveendrababu, Director, Manappuram Finance (Manappuram) published on ET Now dated 9th September 2020:
The business is robust in the gold loan sector but the NBFC would stick to conservative lending and focus on consolidation of the company.
The overall demand for credit has not reached the pre-COVID state. The existing customers have taken more loans and compensated for the slowdown seen in new customer acquisition. He added that customers have also leveraged on higher gold prices.
He mentioned that around 25% of the customers in microfinance, housing finance, and vehicle leasing have availed the moratorium. Collection in microfinance business will cross 85% whereas collections in vehicle finance and housing finance division is expected to touch 90% in September. The company expects some credit loss in the coming quarter in this sector but the company has already provided for that.
New loan disbursals are lower in the non-gold portfolio and seen around 50% when compared to last year, he said. The company’s non-gold loan businesses now account for a 28-30% share of its consolidated AUM.
Regarding the cost of funds, the average borrowing cost for the stand-alone entity went down marginally by 7 bps during the first quarter to 9.39 %. The company expects the cost of funds is likely to come down further by 10-15 bps in the current quarter.
Consensus Estimate: (Source: marketscreener website)
The closing price of Manappuram was ₹ 156/- as of 11-Sept-2020. It traded at 1.9x/ 1.6x/ 1.4x the consensus BV estimate of ₹ 80.2/ 97.7/ 108 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
Consensus target price of ₹ 183/- implies a P/BV multiple of 1.7x on FY23E BV of ₹ 108/-.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

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03 Sep

Insulin Glargine is $2.2bn opportunity in the insulin segment – Biocon

Update on Indian equity market:
After the steep fall on Monday, markets were in a recovery mode for the second straight day as Nifty50 rose 65 points higher at 11,535. Among the index, ZEEL (+7.5%), M&M (+6.1%) and TATAMOTORS (+5.1%) were the top performing stocks while BAJAJAUTO (-2.4%), HEROMOTOCO (-1.4%) and ASIANPAINT (-1.4%) were the laggards. The negative market reaction to two-wheeler stocks came as a surprise as companies delivered good performance in the monthly volumes. Within the sectoral indices, MEDIA (+3.4%), METALS (+1.8%) and IT (+1.5%) were the top performing sectors whereas PSU BANK (-0.4%) and FIN SERVICES (-0.03%) were the only the sectors closed the day in red.
Excerpts of an interview with Kiran Mazumdar Shaw, Executive Chairperson, Biocon published on CNBC TV18 dated 2nd September 2020:
Biocon and Mylan announced the launch of Semglee (Insulin Glargine injection) in the U.S. to expand access for patients living with Diabetes. Ms Mazumdar Shaw said that the commercialization of insulin glargine in the U.S. represents another milestone achievement for the company in making insulin based therapy globally.
The company is leveraging science and global scale manufacturing expertise to expand affordable access of biosimilar insulins to patients in Japan, Australia, Europe, India and key emerging markets. The U.S. launch of Semglee takes the company closer to realizing its aspirations of reaching ‘one in five’ insulin dependent people with diabetes worldwide.
The company expects Semglee to contribute significantly to the company’s goal of impacting 5 million patients’ lives and achieving $1bn revenues by the end of FY22E.
The company rigorously compared Semglee to the reference insulin glargine in participants with type-1 and 2 diabetes and found similar glycemic results in both groups. As a result, this insulin was approved by the FDA for the same indications as its reference product Lantus, thus expanding access for millions of people within this important patient community.
Semglee has an identical amino acid sequence as Sanofi’s Lantus and is approved for the same indications. This product has now received regulatory approval in more than 45 countries around the world and is the third product approved by FDA through the Mylan- Biocon collaboration.
She mentioned that this product already has a $6bn market opportunity in terms of Lantus sales and the company expects it to be $2.2bn opportunity.
Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)
The closing price of Biocon was ₹ 410/- as of 24-Aug-2020. It traded at 46x/ 31x/ 26x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 8.9/ 13.4/ 15.8 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
Consensus target price of ₹ 413/- implies a P/E multiple of 26x on FY23E EPS of ₹ 15.8.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

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25 Aug

Housing Finance book is expected to grow five times in next five years – Bandhan Bank

Update on the Indian Equity Market:
Markets started the week on a positive note with Nifty50 rising 95 points higher at 11,466. Among the index, ZEEL (4.8%), KOTAKBANK (3.5%) and INDUSIND (3.3%) were the top performing stocks while POWERGRID (-2.0%), M&M (-1.2%) and ADANIPORTS (-1.1%) were the laggards. Within the sectoral indices, PVT BANK (2.4%), BANK (2.4%) and FIN SERVICE (2.1%) were the top performing sectors whereas REALTY (-1.0%), PHARMA (-0.4%) and IT (-0.3%) were the only the sectors closed the day in red.
Excerpts of an interview with Mr.Chandra Shekhar Ghosh, Managing Director & CEO, Bandhan Bank (Bandhan) published in Economic Times dated 23rd August 2020:
It is good that failure on large exposures happened very early into Bandhan Bank’s journey, which helped limit the losses and affirmed that it will never lend to the large segment again.
He said that there is a huge opportunity in the rural affordable housing segment. The focus is on housing finance space and the target is to grow the loan book by five times in the next five years to Rs 1 lakh crore. This, he expects will occupy nearly a third of the Rs 3.5 lakh crore lending book that the bank has targeted.
The business has had cycles of good growth, which gets followed with some impact due to changes in the overall environment beyond the bank’s control, and specifically mentioned demonetisation and the current COVID-19 pandemic which led to a full wipeout in collections.
When asked about setbacks like repayments impact due to the anti-CAA protests over the last year, he said till date, not a single rupee of loan has been written off in Assam and the reverses it faced because of the protests are a part of business.
After becoming a bank, its rate of lending has reduced to 17.95 per cent from 22.4 percent earlier and will reduce further as the share of the low-cost deposits will grow, he said, admitting that in the beginning, getting people to deposit was a challenge because the whole system had been tuned as a model focusing on lending and not liabilities.
Small borrowers prefer paying because they understand the importance of a commitment to repay and do not mind sharing the benefits of a growing business with the financier who helped make it possible. He also said more than the rate of interest, a borrower is more concerned with delivery of simple and timely credit for all.
Consensus Estimate: (Source: marketscreener website)
The closing price of Bandhan Bank was ₹ 295/- as of 24-Aug-2020. It traded at 2.7x/ 2.3x/ 1.9x the consensus Book Value estimate of ₹ 108/ 129/ 159 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
The consensus target price of ₹ 372/- implies a BV multiple of 2.3x on FY23E Book Value of ₹ 159.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

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14 Aug

Making structural changes to diversify from auto industry – JSW Steel

Update on Indian equity market:
Nifty remained muted on the weekly expiry day, ending 8 points lower at 11,300. Within NIFTY50, TATAMOTORS (+4.5%), LT (+4.4%) and HINDALCO (+4.2%) were the top gainers while SUNPHARMA (-2.1%), EICHERMOT (-2.1%) and BHARTIARTL (-2.0%) were the top losers. Among the sectoral indices, MEDIA (+1.4%), AUTO (+1.2%) and METAL (+1.1%) were the highest gainers whereas PSU BANKS (-1.0%), PHARMA (-0.9%) and BANK (-0.3%) were the laggards.
Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Seshagiri Rao, Joint Managing Director & CFO, JSW Steel (JSW) published in Economic Times dated 04th August 2020:
•Mr Rao said that in the normal scenario, the company was supplying about 2 million tonne to the Auto sector from the total annual capacity of 15 million tonne. During the pandemic lockdown, the number had dropped by as much as about 65%.
•The company is witnessing demand for steel picking up in tractors and two-wheelers. The demand from top-2 passenger car makers, Maruti and Hyundai has been improved in July over June. The demand for steel in the commercial vehicles segment however remained depressed.
•The company’s alloy steel plant at Salem produces about 1 lakh tonne out of which 70,000 tonne capacity is on rolling basis. There is one bloom mill completely dedicated to the auto sector, and there is a bar mill which can have multiple applications, and finds use in the sectors other than the auto also.
•In the lockdown, the bar mill production was not reduced, whereas the bloom mill production came down to 0 in the month of April, which is currently operating at 10,000- 15,000 tonne a month.
•The changes that company is making on the Auto side are not temporary, they are all structural. The growth in demand for steel from the Auto sector is not the same as the industry has witnessed in the past. He expects it to never be the same and therefore diversification has a strategic component with itself.
Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)
•The closing price of JSW Steel was ₹ 259/- as of 13-Aug-2020. It traded at 38x/13x/ 9x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 6.8/ 20.5/ 27.8 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
•Consensus target price of ₹ 233/- implies a PE multiple of 8x on FY23E EPS of ₹ 27.8.
Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

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11 Aug

Pharma needs more government sops to ramp up API production – LUPIN

Update on Indian equity market:

Nifty started the week on a positive note, ending 56 points higher at 11,270. Within NIFTY50, CIPLA (9.5%), M&M (4.9%) and LT (4.8%) were the top gainers while EICHERMOT (-2.2%), ASIANPAINT (-1.2%) and MARUTI (-1.2%) were the top losers. All the sectoral indices closed the day in green led by PHARMA (5.5%), REALTY (2.8%), and IT (1.0%).

Excerpts of an interview with Mr.Nilesh Gupta, Managing Director, Lupin published in Mint dated 10th August 2020:

  • In the April-June quarter, the company was able to show improvement in margins even though the sales were down. Mr Gupta mentioned that margins were a function of the savings that the company was able to make in this quarter and he expects it to be sustainable even as business picks up.
  • The biggest savings came from SG&A (selling, general & administrative expenses). The company has planned to adopt a more digital approach in how they promote to doctors. 
  • In the specialty segment, Solosec (anti-infective) sales were impacted due to pandemic. The company had to cut down the sales force to a third. It has reduced the cash burn significantly. Other specialty products like NaMuscla and biosimilars like Etanercept will not get impacted in the same way and the company is continuing with its plans.
  • In case of APIs, the company was able to pass on input price increases to customers. The move away from China also opened opportunities for companies from other geographies including Lupin. The last two to three years has seen a resurgence of API and it still remains a great opportunity. The industry needs support from the government to ramp up the facilities.
  • The recent order from the US government will affect the revenues of essential medicines. Lupin has manufacturing in the US and can set up plants anywhere in the world. The order is not an individual company issue but has implications for India.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener website)

  • The closing price of LUPIN was ₹ 968/- as of 10-Aug-2020. It traded at 37x/ 25x/ 21x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 26.1/ 38.2/ 46.5 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 865/- implies a PE multiple of 19x on FY23E EPS of ₹ 46.5.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

By Lupin, Pharmaceuticals 0 Comments Read more...
27 Jul

Chances of recovery depend on economy – Bank of Maharashtra

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

Following the global indices, markets started the day on a negative note but shrugged off most of losses as Nifty closed the week at 11,194 (-0.2%). Within the index, HCLTECH (+4.7%), RELIANCE (+4.4%) and TECHM (+3.6%) were the largest gainers whereas ZEEL (-4.8%), HINDALCO (-3.5%), and AXISBANK (-3.2%) were the highest losers. Among the sectoral indices, only one index, IT (1.4%) ended the day in green while METAL (-2.1%), PSU BANK (-1.9%) and REALTY (-1.7%) led the losing sectors.

Excerpts of an interview with Mr A S Rajeev, CEO of Bank of Maharashtra with ET now dated 19th July 2020:

  • The impact that the pandemic will have on the economy would be much larger than the global financial crisis of 2008. This has resulted in significant reduction in capex as well as lower discretionary spending. All this is going to impact credit off-take in the near term. 
  • Going forward, as the economy opens up fully post lock down, chances of recovery are very good. The demand has started to pick up, although it is still lower than the pre-Covid levels. At present, the agriculture sector is likely to pick up primarily due to good monsoon expected this year. In other sectors, recovery is likely to pick up from the third quarter onwards
  • 35% of term loan borrowers of the bank have opted for the moratorium. The number is around 20% of the total advances. The bank has kept their provision ratio high at 84% to tackle the bad loans.
  • The bank is well capitalized with the capital adequacy ratio at 13.5% which is reasonably high to grow the assets. The board has created an enabling provision to raise up to Rs 30,000 mn including Rs 20,000 mn through equity when it is required in the next one year. The bank would look at raising capital once present market conditions improve.
  • In order to grow the loan book, the bank is focusing on government undertakings which are generally large ticket sized and “A” and above rated corporates for optimizing risk rewards. Among midsize corporate accounts having ticket size of Rs 500 mn to Rs 1,500 mn,the bank is exploring sunrise sectors such as pharmaceutical industries and FMCG, which are safer bets now.
  • The present promoter holding in the bank is 93.32% after considering capital infusion of Rs 8,310  mn by the government in March. The bank is in touch with authorities to allow some time to achieve minimum public shareholding to 25%. The present deadline will be expiring in August.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener and investing.com websites)

  • The closing price of Bank of Maharashtra was ₹ 12.4/- as of 24-July-2020.  It traded at 0.6x the consensus book value of ₹ 20.3 for FY20.
  • The consensus price target for Bank of Maharashtra is not available on the stated websites.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

By Bank, bank of maharashtra 0 Comments Read more...
16 Jul

Financial services sector to witness sharp spike in Non-performing assets – Kotak Bank

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

Markets failed to keep the initial gains as Nifty closed the day 0.1% higher at 10,618. IT sector led the index higher with WIPRO (+16.9%), INFY (+6.5%) and HCL (+5.7%) while the losing stocks for the day RELIANCE (-3.9%), BHARTIARTL (-3.6%) and ZEEL (-2.9%). Among the sectors, IT (5.2%), FMCG (0.7%) and PHARMA (0.6%) while REALTY (-2.1%), MEDIA (-1.7%) and PSU BANK (-1.4%) were the laggards.

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr Uday Kotak, Managing Director, Kotak Bank Ltd. (Kotak); dated 14th July 2020 from CNBC TV-18:

  • The banks would need to be capitalized to the extent of Rs 2-3 lakh crore. The recent fund raising spree by banks was a step in this direction.
  • The banking sector’s total loan book is about Rs 100 lakh crore. The loan losses to the extent of 4-5 percent of total loans could turn Non-Performing Loans (NPL) due to COVID-19. Against this spike in NPL, he believes that the financial sector will need recapitalization of 2-3 percent of the loan book.
  • The financial sector is going all out to beef-up the reserves to be able to absorb the shocks coming out of the crisis. The key lesson for lenders from the crisis is to tighten their lending practices and make loans after taking risks into account.
  • Commenting on the recent surge in the stock market, he said that the market is ignoring short term issues and valuations are based on future recovery. Lower interest rates and disproportionate liquidity globally and locally are helping the equity market as savers have few avenues to invest in.
  • He also mentioned sectors like airlines, tourism, entertainment, hotels and restaurants had been disproportionately affected due to the issues faced by these industries.
  • He said that if the job situation worsens, unsecured customers will add risk. He will be closely watching for recovery in the most affected sectors and job stability very closely.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener, investing website)

  • The closing price of Kotak Bank was ₹ 1,289/- as of 15-July-2020. It traded at 3.3x/ 2.9x/ 2.7x the consensus BV estimate of ₹ 393/ 442/ 472 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 1,382/- implies a PB multiple of 2.9x on FY23E BV of ₹ 472/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

By Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank 0 Comments Read more...
07 Jul

Demand will not be affected due to peak prices – HPCL

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

Markets started the week on optimism as Nifty closed the day 1.5% higher at 10,764. The optimism was such that within the Nifty index, 40 out of 50 stocks ended in green. The top gainers for Nifty 50 were M&M (+7.4%), BAJFINANCE (+6.5%) and HINDALO (+5.7%) while the losing stocks for the day BAJAJAUTO (-1.1%), GAIL (-1.0%) and BHARTIARTL (-0.9%). Ten out of 11 sectors ended the day in green led by REALTY (3.0%), AUTO (2.9%) and METAL (2.5%) while PHARMA (-0.6%) was the only sector in the red zone.

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr M K Surana, Managing Director and Chairman, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (HPCL); dated 6th July 2020 from CNBC TV-18:

  • Sales during the current quarter were 88% of the last year’s same quarter. As construction and industrial activities pick-up, the company expects to reach hundred percent of last year’s sales figure in the coming quarters.
  • He mentioned that the demand for fuel is not expected to get affected due to peak prices. This is because the price elasticity is not profound in India due to the nature of the requirement. 
  • The current situation has made people opt for personal vehicles for commuting. People are buying vehicles irrespective of the price of fuel for safety reasons. He expects this trend to continue in the coming months as well. 
  • About the marketing margins, he mentioned that the rise in price of petrol and diesel is in line with global markets. Whenever the price of raw material rises, it hurts the margins of the company as the base becomes larger. 
  • The prices are going up because of the rise in international crude prices. Oil marketing companies have no say in determining the final prices so the margins get affected during a surge in crude prices.
  • Generally, the company derives 50% of the fuel demand from urban markets, 15% demand comes from highways and remaining 35% comes from the rural markets.
  • Initially during the lockdown, the percentage of rural demand was more than highways and urban demand. As the unlocking of economy is taking place, the demand is again increasing in urban and highways whereas rural demand remains intact.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener, investing websites)

  • The closing price of HPCL was ₹ 216/- as of 6-July-2020. It traded at 7x/ 5x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 32.6/ 39.4 for FY21E/ FY22E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of Rs 274/- implies a PE multiple of 7x on FY22E EPS of ₹ 39.4/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

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26 Jun

Focus on cash conservation & tightening capital allocation – M&M

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

Markets remained muted amid monthly F&O expiry as Nifty closed the day 0.2% lower at 10,289. The top gainers for Nifty 50 were ITC (+5.6%), HEROMOTOCO (+2.9%) and BAJFINANCE (+1.9%) while the losing stocks for the day ASIANPAINT (-3.1%), HINDALCO (-2.3%) and IOC (-2.1%). The gaining sectors for the day were FMCG (+2.3%), PHARMA (+0.8%) and BANK (+0.4%) whereas IT (-1.2%), REALTY (-1.0%) and METAL (-0.6%) were the losing sectors for the day.

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr Pawan Goenka, Managing Director, Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd (M&M); dated 15th June 2020 from CNBC TV-18:

  • Mr Goenka said that the board took a decision that the Company needs to be much tighter on  capital allocation and prioritize where they want to put the money.
  • M&M is looking at all the subsidiaries right now to see whether they will be turning around profitable in the next two years. The company will take the decision in the coming few months about its subsidiaries.
  • Speaking about Peugeot Motorcycles, he said it was hit due to the pandemic. As per the plan, it could have been profitable during this year. However, due to COVID-19, the factories in China are down for quite some time. The company has lost the full peak season in Europe. The management will take the decision on the future of Peugeot motorcycles after reviewing its future.
  • Mahindra Electric turned EBITDA positive in FY20 and the company is on the way to become profit positive or cash-flow positive in the coming quarters.
  • He is confident about the strength of the balance sheet to fight the pandemic. The company holds a fairly strong cash position with more than Rs 100,000 mn cash on its balance sheet.
  • In the near term, the company’s primary objective is to find a third party investor in Korean manufacturer SsangYong as it is in need of cash for survival. 
  • The company reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 32,550 mn during the 4QFY20 due to the COVID-19. In the tough economic period, the company is looking to focus on capital allocation strategies.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener, investing website)

  • The closing price of M&M Ltd was ₹507/- as of 25-June-2020. It traded at 20x/ 15x the consensus EPS estimate of ₹ 25.3/ 33.6 for FY21E/ FY22E respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 558/- implies a PE multiple of 17x on FY22E EPS of ₹ 33.6/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

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17 Jun

Need to raise money for lending activities – Shriram Transport Finance

Update on the Indian Equity Market:

Markets witnessed a volatile day as Nifty touched intra-day low of 9,728 before closing the day 1.1% higher at 9,914. The top gainers for Nifty 50 were HDFCBANK (+4.4%), HDFC (+3.9%) and ICICIBANK (+3.4%) while the losing stocks for the day TATAMOTORS (-5.9%), INFRATEL (-2.9%) and INDUSINDBANK (-2.8%). The gaining sectors for the day were FIN SERVICES (+2.8%), BANK (+1.9%) and PVT BANK (+1.9%) whereas PSU BANK (-0.9%), REALTY (-0.8%) and PHARMA (-0.6%) were the losing sectors for the day.

Edited excerpts of an interview with Mr. Umesh Revankar, MD & CEO, Shriram Transport Finance; dated 11th  June 2020 from Economic Times:

  • Since the lockdown has been relaxed, the Company is getting a better understanding of the ground reality. The calculation is that the Company’s customers who have taken moratorium are likely to keep paying but with a delay. Looking at the past behavior, customers may ask for some kind of discount or rebate. The Company has taken care of these things during the March quarter results.
  • The Company has given moratorium to all eligible customers. Approximately 24% of the customers have made part payment in April. Another 52% of the customers have made part payment in May. Whatever customers pay will be treated as prepayment into their account. 
  • The Company keeps three months of liability in the balance sheet. This kind of buffer is present at all times. They continue to keep sufficient buffers to manage future liability as well. Whatever collection is coming is used to build that buffer further as lending is not done in an active manner.
  • They are focusing on lending to customers for working capital requirements. The RTO offices are now open and hence the Company expects lending activity to pick up from next month. 
  • The Company has raised some money through TLTRO and some through term loan- both from public sector banks in May and June. The management has not yet discussed any equity raising plans.
  • Credit cost of the Company has gone up from 2% to 2.42% during the March quarter. They are confident of maintaining the credit cost at around 3% by September and maybe till
    December.

Consensus Estimate: (Source: market screener, Investing websites)

  • The closing price of Shriram Transport Finance Ltd was ₹ 652/- as of 16-June-2020. It traded at 0.8x/ 0.7x the consensus BV estimate of ₹ 859/ 963 for FY21E/ FY22E/ respectively.
  • The consensus target price of ₹ 935/- implies a PB multiple of 0.9x on FY22E BV of ₹ 963/-.

Disclaimer: “The views expressed are for information purposes only. The information provided herein should not be considered as investment advice or research recommendation. The users should rely on their own research and analysis and should consult their own investment advisors to determine the merit, risks, and suitability of the information provided.”

 

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