Used data analytics to gain rural market share – L&T Finance
Update on the Indian Equity Market:
On Wednesday, Nifty closed 0.9% higher at 14,645. Within NIFTY50, TATAMOTORS (+6.1%), ADANIPORTS (+4.4%), and WIPRO (+3.4%) were the top gainers, while POWERGRID (-2.1%), SHREECEM (-1.8%), and NTPC (-1.6%) were the top losing stocks. Among the sectoral indices, AUTO (+2.3%), IT (+2.2%), and PSU BANK (+2.1%) were the top gainers while FMCG (-0.2%) was the only losing sector.
Used data analytics to gain rural market share – L&T Finance
Excerpts of an interview with Mr Dinanath Dubhashi, MD & CEO, L&T Finance (L&TFH), aired on CNBC-TV18 on 18th January 2021:
- L&TFH reported 10% YoY PAT growth in 3QFY21 on the back of good disbursements, good fees, good performance on liquidity and cost of funds, and maintaining asset quality.
- The industry has seen an uptick in demand from rural India. This is due to a combination of structural as well as seasonal factors. The general wellbeing of farmers due to several government schemes has led to higher discretionary spending ability. Seasonal factors including good rainfall for 3 years, good reservoir levels, excellent Kharif prices, and rabi sowing higher YoY have all contributed to rural demand.
- L&TFH has used data analytics to benefit from the rural demand surge. It has helped L&TFH to gain market share till 2QFY21 and maintain it in 3QFY21.
- In 3QFY21, L&TFH had all-time high disbursements in tractors and 2-wheelers.
- GNPA has marginally moderated to 5.12% in 3QFY21 vs 5.19% in 2QFY21. NNPA increased to 1.9% in 3QFY21 from 1.6% in 2QFY21.
- Collection efficiency is better than pre-Covid levels for the farm segment, back to the pre-Covid level for the 2-wheeler segment, good collections are happening even in the wholesale businesses.
- On provisions, the worry has not ended but new worries are not coming in either. L&TFH has not created more provisions on Stage 1 & 2 assets in 3QFY21. In 3QFY21, L&TFH has provided Rs 1,440 mn for an HFC exposure to the extent of the entire gap between existing provisions and expected resolution money.
- L&TFH is still very much RoE focused, but this year is not the one to be overly concerned about RoE. This year is about remaining liquid, solvent, maintaining excellent asset quality, and maintaining market position.
Consensus Estimate (Source: market screener website)
- The closing price of L&TFH was ₹ 104.2 as of 20-January-2021. It traded at 1.3x/ 1.2x/ 1.1x the consensus BVPS estimate of ₹ 77.7 /85.9 /97.6 for FY21E/ FY22E/ FY23E respectively.
- The consensus target price of ₹ 103.8/- implies a PE multiple of 1.1x on FY23E BVPS of ₹ 97.6/-.
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